Well, Vent you are one of the few that can answer this as much anyone here.
I realize many do not care where EMS has been. I can understand that, but unless one realizes where you have been then you definitely cannot ever understand how you became as a profession where you are, or where you might go.
We became to we are by a strange group of people. In the 70's many post Vietnam era youth that had grown up under the influence of watching Emergency every week. Yes, I hate to admit it, but it was for not for that television show EMS would had never got off the ground. Uniquely, we had to struggle and fight just to be able to perform any tasks.
In the earlier days we always had to "justify" anything we did. I actually seen physical altercations, and poor behavior because everything we performed was belittled, scrutinized, and put down. As well, I had seen medics deliver a child, or treat a raped female, resuscitate a patient, only to be denied to even enter the ER. The nurse and physician would actually take the stretcher from the medic at the door and whisk it away, not allowing the medics past the door. Maybe, this is why we developed such a "cocky" attitude of why we have to feel we must act like there is a chip on our shoulders.
Fortunately, it was not much later in the 80's that those in field felt we must be recognized as a professional. Observing nursing and how they were previously treated, many endorsed collegiate level programs. It was at this time the NREMT finally developed the Paramedic level. Yes, until that time most Paramedics were authorized by local sources only. The 80's actually, was one of the best times for EMS. Special grants, and foundations had been started in the 70's was finally being spent for education and equipment. People entering the field were actually considering this occupation as a potential career. We were finally beginning to be recognized as a peer in the medical profession.
Alas, this would only last for a short period. Apparently, many did not want to continue the trend. Multiple levels were developed. Where small communities once had Paramedics, now cried that they could no longer afford such luxuries, as well as communities that once were progressing towards full ALS coverage now resorted to excusable levels such as the Intermediate or multiple developed levels in partial comparison to the Paramedic level. Part of the blame can be placed on the AED device. Albeit, it is a wonderful device, it was purchased by many communities with the false intentions that by having EMT/D's they would provide ALS similar to Paramedic care. Unfortunately, many EMS personal rather attend a week-end course than a two year Paramedic program, but portraying themselves as "delivering the same care" with the ability to "defib" someone if needed. Thus, the false presentations began, which still continues today with multiple levels.
We have seen EMS climb, then plateau out and now decline.
Other than a few skills such as twelve lead and CPAP, RSI there has not been much movement. Many now enter the EMS with NO intentions to ever work in this profession, thus having apathetic feelings on the longevity of this profession. Fire Departments that had earlier refused to participate in EMS activities now realize their profession is danger, see EMS as a "security blanket" for productivity, and public relations. Unfortunately, we have began to see that EMS again is at the bottom of the pole. These Fire Services are degrading EMS personal by only hiring them as "non-uniformed" thus; they do not obtain benefits, pay structure, etc.. however; may someday be able to be honored to be a "real firefighter" if they are real good... again the step-child syndrome.
So this lead us to today. We have a few that enter EMS for multiple reasons. Thus part of the problem. If one was to ask why they entered medicine, nursing, or any other health career, the general consensus would be to deliver patient care and to work in that profession by doing so. Unfortunately, not EMS. There are those in EMS because they had no choice. FD requiring them to participate, those that feel it can be used as a stepping stone, and those that performing in EMS makes them feel good about themselves and perform it as a charity, or community service.
There are very few that enter EMS to actually participate in direct patient care, that want to stay the longevity and participate in professional development. Not that there are not any... just are the minority.
EMS is one of the few health care professions that has to fight each other to progress. This is why other medical careers, scratch their head looking upon us. Where others rallied together and fought obstacles among the way, EMS continue to fight within each other. With the division of those that want to move forward and those that want to dilute and keep status quo. Excuses are generally made in comparison as to the location of geography (rural, urban, metro) to employment ( be it paid or volunteer). Thus again, those in the health career do not seem to understand. They realize it does not matter whom, where patient care is delivered there has to consistency with standards. That the respiratory therapist in a town of 5,000 is just as qualified as the ones in 500,000 and the RN working the rural clinic has the same level of entry education working in the Indian Reservation has the same degree as the one in downtown Chicago, the same based equal education. There cannot be multiple entry levels, everyone starts off on the same place, without professional standards and work the profession will NEVER advance.
So what now.. ?
Yes, I believe we will see a tear and a division in EMS. Unfortunately, FD and large corporations will be there to pick up the remains in attempt to control it. I do believe there has to be a final fight to see where we will go. The population that is becoming the consumers will have too much demand on the current system. Yes, volunteers will want to "hold on" but will have to let go due to the demand. Run volumes will be increasing by triple volumes, as well as the responsibility will be increased. It has to.
According to many world and national health organizations, there will not be enough hospital beds, ER facilities to ever meet the demands of the public. Look at the current trend, even within the past ten years. The population has increased more than the facilities that deliver the care. Yes, it is scary.. and yes it will be MUCH worse in the future.
So how will our role change...?
Either we will attempt for maintain as it is... (which will lead to failure), continue to dilute programs and produce EMT's by the hundreds of thousands that have no function or job, or we can look at our neighbors up north. View that they are placing the EMS personal more than in a transporting unit. Utilizing EMS as out of hospital treatment and delivery of care. Yes, our role will change, but it will have to, or we will be replaced. It is too costly for Medicare and other payers to continue paying for high dollar taxi rides.
The decision will be yours what the future of EMS will be like.. either be part of the change, or do nothing and see what comes along.